RR Phantom
Location : Wasted Space Job/hobbies : Cayman Islands Actuary
| Subject: The Gold Market Could Be About To Snap - Watch GOFO Tue Mar 31, 2020 7:40 pm | |
| Summary
The gold forward offered rate, or GOFO, is the dollar interest rate minus the interest rate on lending gold.
If the rate is positive, the dollar lender is earning positive interest on a dollar loan, which means the dollar is the money and gold the commodity in the transaction.
If negative, the gold lender is earning positive interest on a gold loan relative to dollars, which means gold is the money de facto and the dollar the "commodity".
In other words, a negative GOFO - AKA gold backwardation - is a de facto gold standard.
GOFO is now negative relative to the secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) and will continue to be negative as long as the Fed holds rates at 0, constituting an existential threat for the dollar.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4334938-gold-market-be-to-snap-watch-gofo |
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