Will Iran’s Regime Survive Coronavirus?

Subject: Will Iran’s Regime Survive Coronavirus? Tue Mar 17, 2020 5:07 pm

Soaring inflation. Deepening domestic discontent. An expanding environmental crisis. Even before the outbreak of the novel coronavirus in recent weeks, the Iranian regime was struggling under the weight of domestic problems that increasingly threatened to undermine the integrity of the Islamic Republic. With the advent of COVID-19, however, matters have become much, much worse for the Iranian regime — so much so that it isn’t unreasonable to think that the Iranian regime could buckle under the weight of its own internal contradictions. That’s because, for Iran’s ayatollahs, coronavirus represents a true “black swan” event.

Will Iran’s Regime Survive Coronavirus? Iran-corona

Will Iran’s Regime Survive Coronavirus? Iran-corona

The term, popularized by the scholar Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his 2008 book of the same name, refers to an improbable occurrence that cannot be reasonably predicted, but which has profound — and potentially catastrophic — consequences. This is what COVID-19 is for Iran.

The problems start with the failing health of Iran’s ruling class. The upper echelons of the Iranian leadership are overwhelmingly aging and infirm, and coronavirus is exacting a deadly toll on this cohort. As of March 4, the Washington Post had documented that the disease had afflicted “about two dozen members of parliament and at least 15 other current or former top figures.” That figure has expanded significantly since then, as has the number of high-profile casualties within the Islamic Republic. To date, the virus is known to have claimed the lives of Mohammad Mirmohammadi, an adviser to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, former deputy foreign minister Hossein Sheikholeslam, parliamentarians Mohammad Ali Ramezani Dastak and Fatimeh Rehber, and at least three other officials. More can certainly be expected in coming days.

https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/03/will-irans-regime-survive-coronavirus/?fbclid=IwAR0rB46Pjv3AOkrGd3L7CochcrjIIjGlav6T1gfag9D9zHF7TKNXHqXIwRo

Will Iran’s Regime Survive Coronavirus?

Will Iran’s Regime Survive Coronavirus?

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