RR Phantom
Location : Wasted Space Job/hobbies : Cayman Islands Actuary
| Subject: ANCAPS - Greenspan's Last Bubble Has Popped: Gold Sat Mar 22, 2008 9:31 pm | |
| "Greenspan gaveth, and Bernanke hath taken away."
Put a different way: "Ludwig von Mises was right. The Federal Reserve System is wrong." (This rule is always correct – as Mises used to say, with "apodictic certainty.")
I knew gold's decline was near. Also silver's. How did I know? Because I understand Mises' theory of the business cycle. The central bank inflates. This creates a boom. This creates sectoral bubbles. Then the central bank ceases to inflate. The bubbles will pop. The economy will go into a recession.
On Monday, March 17, I posted this article on my website, www.GaryNorth.com: "How to Short Gold and Still Keep Your Gold Coins."
I had asked a specialist in commodity futures to write it the previous Friday. He sent it to me on Saturday. I scheduled it for automatic posting at 12:01 Monday morning.
That article must have seemed strange all day Monday. Gold was at $1,005. In the aftermarket, it rose to $1,029. Then it fell back.
Why did I have this article written? Because I have believed for months that the Federal Reserve's policy of monetary deflation would at last break the commodities market, which I believed had all the characteristics of a bubble. This was the last remaining Greenspan bubble.
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