RR Phantom
Location : Wasted Space Job/hobbies : Cayman Islands Actuary
| Subject: Will UK's Birth Rate Decline Bring "Hyper-Liberal Future", or Extinction? Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:19 pm | |
| The UK (among other nations) is having a very strange “infertility epidemic”: the number of births in June 2022, compared to June 2021, declined by a staggering 15%. Note that the preceding month’s decline was 13% and things got worse since my previous report:
The latest data for June is shown in the Vaccine Surveillance Report Week 40:
It shows that the number of women giving birth declined from 43,723 in Jun 2021, to 37,037 in Jun 2022. This is a 15.3% decline.
Before I go further, I have to remind my readers: birth rates are always seasonal! Most parents prefer to make a “spring baby”, which often ends up with them making a “summer baby” because conception takes more time than expected. So, never compare adjacent months as they are guaranteed to have dramatic changes that are simply seasonality-driven, with differences very repeatable over the years. Only compare months of one year with the same months of another year, please. I did just that, comparing May to May, etc.
Here are the numbers presented to be easier to see:
So, you can see that the UK’s birth rate declines are not getting better and are slightly worse in June (the last month for which data is available), compared to May.
.https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/will-uks-birth-rate-decline-bring?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2 |
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