The Rate of Change is the Signal -- And the signal is a disaster

Following last month’s findings by Ed Dowd, he and his actuarial insurance expert partner have dug even further into the raw data and came back with a not so pretty picture.

Ed went on Daniel Horowitz’s podcast last week to break down the numbers and explain his theory as to what it all means. He took the CDC data on all deaths, established a baseline rate by showing the death rates from 2015-2019, and compared that rate to the rate of death in 2021, The Year of the Mandated Vaccine.

The Rate of Change is the Signal -- And the signal is a disaster Https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F46aa8fdd-96ad-42f5-856a-c3cea0161cbc_540x479

The Rate of Change is the Signal -- And the signal is a disaster Https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F46aa8fdd-96ad-42f5-856a-c3cea0161cbc_540x479

Next, they took the data and sliced it into age groups, and that’s where a really disturbing signal emerged. 2021 excess deaths in the millennial cohort reached an astounding 84% increase rate over the baseline. For the young, healthy working-age population this is extremely alarming. In raw numbers, there were 61,000 excess deaths of people aged 25-44 in 2021.

The Rate of Change is the Signal -- And the signal is a disaster Https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf8a0582-76b9-48d4-bba3-e355a805e3d3_530x763

Note: While drug overdoses/suicides/accidents likely did rise in 2021, the majority of those deaths would be included in the baseline rate, because of course all of those have been occurring since 2015.

Ed and his partner did something really interesting. They split low-vax rate states (<60% vaccinated) and high-vax rate (>80% vaccinated) states to look for trends that might add to the picture. While there were alarming excess mortality rates across the board, low-vax states had a dramatic spike in the fall of 2021 that did not occur in high-vax states.

The Theory: Low-vax states had a huge spike in excess mortality rates (+107%) in Aug-Oct of 2021 due to the vaccine mandates. High-vax states had a steadier vaccine uptake and therefore saw a steadier rise (+53%) throughout 2021.

The Signal: The key is in the rate of change. While there may have been suicides, overdoses, and accidents included in the excess mortality of 2021, the rate of change for the 3 month period in the fall doesn’t allow for that explanation, as there would be no reason for such a huge, sharp spike and an equally sharp fall in deaths if those were the primary causes.

Other actuaries studying this are coming to similar conclusions, and while there can be a debate on what caused the spike, Ed is personally as sure as he can be that it’s caused by the governments via vaccine mandates.

He notes that the military data that was leaked by whistleblowers correlates at a micro level to the CDC data that he analyzed, in that they saw sharp increases in non-Covid death among a young, very healthy population across 2021. The Aug-Oct spike in deaths is a statistical anomaly that resulted in a Vietnam War size disaster for millennials last year.

.https://etana.substack.com/p/the-rate-of-change-is-the-signal?s=r

The Rate of Change is the Signal -- And the signal is a disaster DufQxqs

The Rate of Change is the Signal -- And the signal is a disaster DufQxqs

The Rate of Change is the Signal -- And the signal is a disaster

The Rate of Change is the Signal -- And the signal is a disaster

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