RR Phantom
Location : Wasted Space Job/hobbies : Cayman Islands Actuary
| Subject: UK Short-term Reinfections Exploding: Highly-Vaxxed Brits are Reinfected Constantly Tue Mar 22, 2022 5:08 pm | |
| The UK, like most other good countries, reports “Covid Cases” to the world. These reports, however, consider reinfections to be “new cases” only if there is a period of more than 90 days between positive tests. Any shorter interval between positive tests makes the UK consider that a “continuation” of a previous case.
So, for instance, a person who had Covid on Dec 15, recovered in a week, and then got Covid again on March 5, would NOT officially be considered a “new Covid case”.
However, the UK also has a “ZOE Health tracker app”, which is apparently popular and allows people to report their symptoms. This app considers short term reinfections to be “cases” also and reports collective statistics.
Look at the two graphs. First, official UK data:
Second, ZOE data. Look at the blue line, reported Covid cases:
You can see right away that, approximately until the early January peak, the two graphs perfectly matched each other in their shape. However, they totally diverged after that. Please forgive my Hunter-Biden level drawing skills, but after 5th try I was able to draw well enough to illustrate the difference:
I drew the BLUE line on the graph to roughly represent how the ZOE line has diverged from the official data.
Some notes:
It is understandable that self-reported ZOE symptoms may generally exceed officially-reported, test-confirmed “cases” as they use a different criteria
But up to January the SHAPE of these curves was roughly equal, with one following another closely
However, after January, ZOE curve skyrocketed compared to the official curve
So, what is going on? I believe that the answer is that there is a lot more short term reinfections in the UK, than before, that show up in ZOE but not in the official statistics.
In fact, the graph suggests that about half of the currently infected are on their second, short-term reinfection.
.https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/uk-short-term-reinfections-exploding?s=r |
|