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 Via Anarcho-Capitalists' Forum: How Trump is on track for a 2020 landslide

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Via Anarcho-Capitalists' Forum: How Trump is on track for a 2020 landslide Vide
PostSubject: Via Anarcho-Capitalists' Forum: How Trump is on track for a 2020 landslide   Via Anarcho-Capitalists' Forum: How Trump is on track for a 2020 landslide Icon_minitimeThu Mar 21, 2019 10:31 pm
Economic models point to a Trump blowout in 2020. But a faltering economy or giant scandal could change everything.

Via Anarcho-Capitalists' Forum: How Trump is on track for a 2020 landslide GettyImages-1135587043-1160x827

U.S. President Donald Trump has a low approval rating. He is engaging in bitter Twitter wars and facing metastasizing investigations.

But if the election were held today, he’d likely ride to a second term in a huge landslide, according to multiple economic models with strong track records of picking presidential winners and losses. Credit a strong U.S. economy featuring low unemployment, rising wages and low gas prices — along with the historic advantage held by incumbent presidents.

While Trump appears to be in a much stronger position than his approval rating and conventional Beltway wisdom might suggest, he also could wind up in trouble if the economy slows markedly between now and next fall, as many analysts predict it will.

And other legal bombshells could explode the current scenario. Trump’s party managed to lose the House in 2018 despite a strong economy. So the models could wind up wrong this time around.

Despite all these caveats, Trump looks surprisingly good if the old James Carville maxim coined in 1992 — “the economy, stupid” — holds true in 2020.

https://www.politico.eu/article/how-trump-is-on-track-for-a-2020-landslide/

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