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 Global Economic Slump Imminent As Korean Exports 'Canary' Crashes

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RR Phantom

RR Phantom

Location : Wasted Space
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Global Economic Slump Imminent As Korean Exports 'Canary' Crashes Vide
PostSubject: Global Economic Slump Imminent As Korean Exports 'Canary' Crashes   Global Economic Slump Imminent As Korean Exports 'Canary' Crashes Icon_minitimeWed Jan 02, 2019 4:08 pm

In the latest sign that the slowdown in China and the global trade war is weighing on global commerce, South Korea’s exports fell  in December. The 1.2% YoY decline was dramatically below the +2.5% YoY expected and missed even the most pessimistic forecast (which was still a rise).

Global Economic Slump Imminent As Korean Exports 'Canary' Crashes 2019-01-01_6-16-35

Korean exports were hit by falling memory-chip and oil prices and cooling demand from China and imports also disappointed, rising 0.9% YoY.

Exports to China dropped 13.9% in December over a year earlier, as trade friction with the United States weighed on demand from the largest buyer of South Korean goods.

Global Economic Slump Imminent As Korean Exports 'Canary' Crashes 2019-01-01_6-49-44

South Korea is the first major exporter to report trade data each month, so provides an early reading of global trade; and as the world's leading exporter of computer chips, ships, cars and petroleum products, December's data is a major red flag for the global economy.

As the chart below shows, Global equity market earnings growth (and contraction) is extremely tightly correlated to Korean export growth (or contraction)...

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-01-01/global-economic-slump-imminent-korean-exports-canary-crashes?fbclid=IwAR1YQaeOwgUETm-FHqlgREDTV6lp-maVVuDjXVtIHfI1XiC0tIJfdKxqcAQ
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