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 An Algorithm that Can Predict Weather a Year in Advance

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An Algorithm that Can Predict Weather a Year in Advance Vide
PostSubject: An Algorithm that Can Predict Weather a Year in Advance   An Algorithm that Can Predict Weather a Year in Advance Icon_minitimeTue Sep 27, 2011 5:15 pm
In our latest podcast, “The Folly of Prediction,” we poke fun at the whole notion of forecasting. The basic gist is: whether it’s Romanian witches or Wall Street quant wizards, though we love to predict things — we’re generally terrible at it. (You can download/subscribe at iTunes, get the RSS feed, or read the transcript here.)

But there is one emerging tool that’s greatly enhancing our ability to predict: algorithms. Toward the end of the podcast, Dubner talks to Tim Westergren, a co-founder of Pandora Radio, about how the company’s algorithm is able to predict what kind of music people want to hear, by breaking songs down to their basic components. We’ve written a lot about algorithms, and the potential they have to vastly change our life through customization, and perhaps satisfy our demand for predictions with some robust results.

One of the first things that comes to mind when people hear the word forecasting is the weather. Over the last few decades, we’ve gotten much better at predicting the weather. But what if through algorithms, we could extend our range of accuracy, and say, predict the weather up to a year in advance? That’d be pretty cool, right? And probably worth a bit of money too.

More: http://www.freakonomics.com/2011/09/27/an-algorithm-that-can-predict-weather-a-year-in-advance/
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